Appendix
Full curriculum overview
Full Curriculum
0. Getting Started
Essential resources and guides before diving into JGBs
- 0.1 - Appendix: Quick Reference
- 0.2 - Data Sources and Transparency
- 0.3 - How to Use This App
- 0.4 - A Self-Updating Textbook
- 0.5 - Why Japan Matters Now
- 0.6 - Why Fundamentals Matter in Finance
1. Fixed Income Fundamentals
Universal bond concepts - no Japan-specific complexity
- 1.1 - What are JGBs?
- 1.2 - Key Characteristics of JGBs
- 1.3 - Understanding Yield (YTM)
- 1.4 - The JGB Yield Curve
- 1.5 - Reading the JGB Yield Curve
- 1.6 - Why Yield Curves Matter
- 1.7 - Risk-Free Rates and OIS
- 1.8 - Bond Pricing Fundamentals
- 1.9 - Bond Pricing Examples
- 1.10 - Day Count Conventions
2. Fiscal Framework & Governance
Fiscal policy, debt management, and governance frameworks
- 2.1 - Who Issues JGBs?
- 2.2 - How JGBs Are Repaid
- 2.3 - Japan's Tax Revenue Structure
- 2.4 - Budget Deficits and Debt Servicing
- 2.5 - Fiscal Sustainability Metrics
- 2.6 - Primary Balance: Japan's Fiscal North Star
- 2.7 - Japan's Primary Balance History
- 2.8 - International Assessment of Japan's Fiscal Position
- 2.9 - Sovereign Credit Ratings
- 2.10 - How the MOF Determines Issuance
- 2.11 - MOF Issuance Principles: Stability Over Cost
- 2.12 - Political Influence on JGB Issuance
- 2.13 - Current Political Context: Takaichi Administration
- 2.14 - Government Shutdowns: The U.S. Experience
- 2.15 - The Debt Ceiling: A U.S. Fiscal Constraint
- 2.16 - Japan's Fiscal Governance: No Debt Ceiling
3. Economic Context & Monetary Policy
Economic history, currency dynamics, and BOJ monetary policy framework
- 3.1 - The MOF-BOJ Relationship
- 3.2 - Japan's Foreign Exchange Reserves
- 3.3 - Currency Intervention Strategy
- 3.4 - Japan's Economic Journey: Miracle, Bubble, and Lost Decades
- 3.5 - Japan's Trade Balance and Import Dependencies
- 3.6 - Structural JPY Weakness
- 3.7 - Central Bank Swap Lines and Global Liquidity
- 3.8 - Why 2.0% Inflation Target?
- 3.9 - History of Japan's Monetary Policy
- 3.10 - BOJ Share of Outstanding JGBs
- 3.11 - Monetary Policy Meeting Schedule
4. JGB Markets
JGB market structure, auctions, futures, and repo
- 4.1 - BOJ-NET Infrastructure
- 4.2 - Primary Market: Auction Process
- 4.3 - BOJ Communication: Japanese vs English Documentation
- 4.4 - Issuance Schedules and Calendars
- 4.5 - Buybacks and Debt Management
- 4.6 - Market Participants and Dynamics
- 4.7 - BOJ Holdings and Market Structure
- 4.8 - JGB Futures Contracts
- 4.9 - Cheapest-to-Deliver Analysis
- 4.10 - Conversion Factors
- 4.11 - Inflation-Indexed Bonds (JGBi)
- 4.12 - JGB Repo Markets
- 4.13 - Debt Redemption Framework
- 4.14 - Auction Theory
5. Risk Management
Duration, convexity, and interest rate risk metrics
- 4.1 - Macaulay Duration
- 4.2 - Modified Duration
- 4.3 - DV01 - Dollar Value of a Basis Point
- 4.4 - Convexity
- 4.5 - Grid Point Sensitivity (GPS)
- 4.6 - Interest Rate Risk in Banking Book (IRRBB)
- 4.7 - Liquidity Risk
6. Economic Indicators
Key Japanese economic data that drive JGB markets
- 5.1 - Overview of Economic Indicators
- 5.2 - GDP and Growth Indicators
- 5.3 - Inflation Metrics
- 5.4 - Labor Market Indicators
- 5.5 - Trade and Balance of Payments
- 5.6 - BOJ Tankan Survey
- 5.7 - BOJ Outlook Report
- 5.8 - Housing and Mortgage Rates
- 6.9 - Elections and Budgeting
7. Advanced Pricing & Analytics
Advanced pricing models and analytics for JGBs
- 6.1 - Overview
- 6.2 - Carry Trades
- 6.3 - Curve Trades
- 6.4 - Butterfly Trades
- 6.5 - Basis Trades
- 6.6 - Arbitrage Relationships
- 6.7 - Advanced Concepts: Continuous Compounding
- 6.8 - Neutral Rates and Stagflation
8. Derivatives
Swaps, options, swaptions, asset swaps, and regulatory framework
- 7.1 - Overview of JGB Derivatives
- 7.2 - Interest Rate Swaps (IRS)
- 7.3 - JGB Options
- 7.4 - Swaptions
- 7.5 - Asset Swaps
- 7.6 - Benchmark Rate Reform
- 7.7 - OTC Derivatives Regulation
- 7.8 - TONA 3-Month Futures
9. Topics Under Exploration
Research in progress - timeline and placement TBA
- 9.1 - Wealth Inequality and Generational Divides
- 9.2 - The Rise of Non-Banks in JGB Markets
- 9.3 - Fiscal Sustainability vs. Political Reality
- 9.4 - Strategic Industrial Policy and JGB Issuance
- 9.5 - The Capitalism Debate: Stakeholder vs. Shareholder
- 9.6 - Stablecoins' Impact on Sovereign Bond Yields
- 9.7 - The Stagflation Era
- 9.8 - What Central Banks Target After Inflation
- 9.9 - Optimizing BOJ Communication: Translation & Volatility Reduction
- 9.10 - Gold's Recent Rally: Historical Context
- 9.11 - China: Opacity vs. Significance in Global Markets
- 9.12 - Fin-Fluencers League Table
- 9.13 - The Yen Carry Trade: Past, Present, Future
- 9.14 - A Financial Crisis with Non-Bank Financial Institutions?